mathbabe

I wonder if the Clinton campaign might have use different tactics had they not relied so heavily on the faulty modelling in polls done in the swing states. Since polls are adjusted, heavily I think, for likely voters, the idea that Clinton lost because she gave short shrift to rustbelt areas sounds more plausible. Of course, it’s unknowable, but this could be a case where the micro-targeting of high-value voters you discussed in your book worked against a candidate who relied on data-driven strategy.

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