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Two new Bloomberg Posts!!
April 28, 2020
Guys I’m sorry I forgot to blog last Friday about a piece I wrote:
Trump Is a Machine-Learning Algorithm Gone Wrong
His bizarre behavior suggests he’s running low on data.
Also here’s a piece that came out yesterday that I’d love to hear your thoughts about:
We Can’t Get Together Until Tests Get Better
More columns are here.
Categories: Uncategorized
Hi,
I LOVE your posts but must I buy a subscription to Bloomberg to read them? Thanks in advance for an answer.
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I think you get a few free articles a month but you have to subscribe for that. Sorry.
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An imperfect test can still help get the reproductive rate below 1, though? Say it has 70% sensitivity but is fast and available and used to test all contacts of each case detected. Yeah, 30% of the infected contacts will be missed. Unfortunate for those people and their own contacts.
But if a mean 2.5 transmissions could be reduced by 70%, that leaves 0.75 transmissions. For the community the big question is exponential growth or decay.
I don’t want people to dismiss the value in test-and-trace approaches even with imperfect testing.
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